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Telegram群组导航(www.tg888.vip):Can Malaysia withstand a global downturn?

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Whats next for Malaysia

MALAYSIA surprised the market by delivering a stronger-than-expected growth of 8.9% in the second quarter.

The post-lockdown recovery has picked up pace very well, even as the government unwinds its fiscal stimulus and certain subsidy measures.

However, going forward, concerns are mounting on whether Malaysia can continue its growth momentum, despite the risk of recession plaguing the whole world.

Riding an uneven recovery contributes to some uncertainty going forward and even Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz admitted that Malaysia’s economic outlook could be hurt by pessimism in the global economy.

“The weaker global outlook will certainly impact us,” he was reported as saying.

The overheating global economy has shown early signs of cooling down, with commodity prices coming off their multi-year highs and inflation expectations easing.

These developments are taking place as central banks rush to tighten their monetary policies.

But this comes at a great cost.

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Economic growth forecasts across advanced and developing countries have been downgraded significantly and consumer sentiment is waning in many parts of the world.

Steady momentum: People walk pass a row of flags installed in conjunction with the coming 65th Independence Day celebration in Kuala Lumpur. The post-lockdown recovery has picked up pace very well, even as the government unwinds its fiscal stimulus and certain subsidy measures. — Bernama

With corporate earnings coming under pressure, an increasing number of companies are also cutting jobs and freezing hiring.

These include major corporations like Netflix, Tesla, Twitter and Shopee.

While these changes in the global economy are worrying, they are not entirely surprising.

As central banks – especially the United States’ Federal Reserve (Fed) – raised borrowing costs aggressively, businesses are scaling back their plans and households have turned more cautious in their spending.

By the end of 2022, the Fed targets to raise its benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.25% to 3.5%. Rates started the year at near-zero.

In the past, most recessions in the United States since the 1920 Great Depression have followed interest rate hikes by the Fed.

Many people think that the US is already in a recession, after estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis show that the world’s largest economy shrank by an annualised rate of 1.6% and 0.9% in the first and second quarters of 2022, respectively.

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  • 2022-11-25 00:28:41

    高盛发研报指,同程旅行(00780)将于11月22日公布其第三季度业绩。该行预计第三季度收入将同比增长5%,接近业绩指引的低端(同比增5-10%),反映了交通业务的收入下降(同比跌11%)。得益于短途旅行的复苏,期内ADR(平均每日房价)同比增长5%且入住率相对稳定(约10%)。考虑到三季度收入复苏弱于预期,且销售及营销费用收入占比相对较高达44%(二季度为43.6%,去年同期为为40.6%),该行预计调整后净利润为2.34亿元(同比跌33%),调整后的净利润率为11.5%,低于公司此前3-3.5亿元的业绩指引。我和我的小伙伴都喜欢。